Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 16.530318 18.730827 21.189786 24.155127 27.652555 31.668820 36.662244
2025-10-12 13.946819 16.851583 20.371146 25.001454 31.010348 38.653683 49.290472
2025-10-19 11.869824 14.933602 18.842591 24.287446 31.824748 42.121148 57.668380
2025-10-26 10.920546 14.222280 18.626988 25.079064 34.545899 48.359380 70.902956
2025-11-02 9.834413 13.156365 17.745725 24.743669 35.508879 52.101203 81.037271
2025-11-09 8.927386 12.218245 16.902551 24.298242 36.159460 55.362145 90.956033
2025-11-16 8.216417 11.476812 16.244295 24.013972 36.964628 58.923429 102.084874
2025-11-23 7.519870 10.685621 15.421297 23.351535 37.018797 61.155469 111.165274
2025-11-30 7.034879 10.166302 14.957074 23.199726 37.892438 64.944670 124.168150
2025-12-07 6.426675 9.406601 14.044182 22.190773 37.096938 65.456363 130.339168
2025-12-14 5.841826 8.641170 13.059896 20.957896 35.731009 64.632503 133.323298
2025-12-21 5.462092 8.175873 12.528647 20.463793 35.686005 66.444789 142.901860
2025-12-28 5.646396 8.648947 13.617974 23.036848 42.043058 83.064909 195.053027
2026-01-04 5.503597 8.568612 13.755050 23.865773 45.036381 93.031745 233.844233
2026-01-11 5.140739 8.087707 13.146322 23.189291 44.734860 95.206615 250.732317
2026-01-18 5.019575 8.013161 13.256078 23.936805 47.659594 105.933370 299.043877
2026-01-25 4.760592 7.678594 12.862608 23.620198 48.121488 110.443229 328.569864
2026-02-01 4.509835 7.342446 12.440431 23.199652 48.278858 114.180206 357.144565
2026-02-08 4.298449 7.063988 12.106394 22.931206 48.764966 118.960918 392.268940
2026-02-15 4.060214 6.722691 11.628239 22.305473 48.281387 120.838836 416.575435
2026-02-22 3.895696 6.507737 11.380443 22.162042 49.004439 126.537935 460.969733
2026-03-01 3.651907 6.132394 10.793671 21.208444 47.497060 124.978943 470.975391
2026-03-08 3.400568 5.731607 10.134984 20.042418 45.299242 120.834833 466.799048